The vote on President Joe Biden's popularity in the United States is underway on Tuesday. While midterm elections usually serve as a referendum on the incumbent leader, Biden has sought to align the election on his predecessor Donald Trump and "extremist" Republicans with him, warning that they threaten democracy and fundamental rights, including through his denial of the results of the 2020 presidential election. Race.
The election result will likely determine the 79-year-old Biden's remaining two years in the White House and his potential run for re-election in 2024.
Voters register at a polling station in New York for the November 8, 2022 U.S. midterm election. (Kyodo) Tuesday's election has all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and about a third of the 100 seats in the Senate on the ballot .
In addition, 36 of the 50 states will elect governors. The Democratic Party currently has a slim majority in the House of Representatives. The Senate is split evenly, but Democrats hold the majority due to Vice President Kamala Harris' landmark vote. Polls have shown that Republicans are likely to win a majority in the House of Representatives. They are also easily favored to win the Senate, election forecasters FiveThirtyEight said, with races in Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania expected to play a crucial role.
A Republican-controlled House of Representatives could stall Biden's legislative agenda, increase administration oversight and launch a congressional investigation into Hunter, the president's son, who is accused of involvement in shady deals in Ukraine and China . On the diplomatic front, no major changes are expected in the current US stance on pursuing a tough policy on China, given the bipartisan consensus on the issue.
But the Biden administration's effort to support Ukraine against Russia's invasion could be complicated, as some Republicans have questioned the rising cost. During the campaign, members of the Republican Party criticized the Democratic government for creating historically high inflation through what they consider "wasteful" government spending.
They also accused the Democrats of being lenient on crime and illegal immigration. A Supreme Court decision in June to scrap constitutional abortion rights has sparked optimism among Democrats that the strong public backlash could help them reverse the president's party's historic trend of losses. Seats in the House of Representatives in the midterm elections.
Over the summer, Biden also won a string of legislative victories aimed at stimulating significant investment and job creation in the country. Dynamics in the weeks leading up to the elections. According to Gallup polling data, presidents with approval ratings below 50% have seen their party lose an average of 37 House seats in the midterm elections.
The polling firm said in a Nov. 1 report that Biden's job approval rating of 40 percent was higher than that of another recent president at the time of the midterm elections: George W. Bush in 2006 at 38 percent. According to data from the University of Florida's U.Elections Project, 45 million people voted by mail or early in person before Election Day.
1 million who did so in the last midterm elections in 2018. This year's midterm elections are the first major elections in the United States since a pro-Trump mob stormed the Capitol in January 2021 to annul the 2020 presidential election, which Trump called the election "rigged" and continues to repeat the claim without any evidence.
The former Republican president, who has raised questions about his role in the Capitol riots and criminal investigations into his dealings and handling of classified documents, said during a recent rally. that "very, very, very likely" will come in 2024. During his four-year tenure, Trump has advanced his unilateral "America First" foreign and trade policies, which have been criticized for undermining longstanding alliances, multilateralism and international organizations.
Biden, who became the oldest US president at the time of his inauguration, said in a television interview in October that his "intent" was to get back in the game, although he admitted he had achieved nothing. formal decision.
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